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2024-12-14 00:04:31

It can be predicted that the A-share market outlook will be a downward trend. Judging from the current heat of speculation on these theme stocks, another one will be made, but the rising time and space will be far less than the first three. Look at the picture below:This chart reflects the three high positions of A-shares since they peaked on October 8th, November 8th and December 10th. Combined with the volume pile shown in Figure 1, it is clear at a glance that the real big market is that the volume pile is bigger than one, but now it is smaller than one, which fully shows that the market after October 8th is a trend of creating long traps and attracting more, and now it has been twice.Today, the trend of A-shares stands out as a stable word, and individual stocks generally rise, which may be the best situation. However, the A-share market can't always go up without going down. Today, the Hang Seng Index dives frequently, while the Hong Kong stocks at the end of the market continue to dive, while A-shares and A50 futures index rise in the opposite direction, with serious differentiation, indicating that the pressure on all parties is still relatively large.


Today, the trend of A-shares stands out as a stable word, and individual stocks generally rise, which may be the best situation. However, the A-share market can't always go up without going down. Today, the Hang Seng Index dives frequently, while the Hong Kong stocks at the end of the market continue to dive, while A-shares and A50 futures index rise in the opposite direction, with serious differentiation, indicating that the pressure on all parties is still relatively large.This chart contains the situation of A-share trading volume since the 924 market. On October 8, the volume was the largest, which was the largest in history. On November 8, it was greatly reduced, and it was reduced again on December 10. Today, the volume is still shrinking, which still belongs to the trend of ship pulled. Everyone should pay attention to this time interval. Since October 8, there will be a rebound every other day, November 8, December 10 and December.The simplest and most direct reason for doing this is to spread out the high-priced chips at a high level. In fact, the main force has been doing this all the time. Since 924, the main capital of A shares has flowed out of the market by more than 2 trillion yuan. Who has taken these chips? According to relevant data, over 10 million new retail investors have entered the market during this period. Judging from the current trading volume, although the number of retail investors has decreased, there are still retail investors' funds coming into the market. How many retail investors have taken over yesterday's trading volume?


Tomorrow's market is a slight downward trend, because it is difficult for the current main force to make a tombstone and attract more. We will adjust the position tomorrow to 3400 points, which is in line with what I have always said. In a market that attracts more, the main force will take some support positions seriously, constantly oscillating and tempting.It may also be that the forecast is too early. For today's trend, I ignored the will of the main capital to attract more. If we make a quick correction today, the A-share market may be difficult to do at the end of the year. Therefore, the main capital repeated the trend of double 11 today, and we cannot ignore the determination of the main capital to attract more shipments.Second, judging from the technical analysis, the short-term A-share market has peaked, that is to say, 3494 points yesterday was the recent high point.

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